Stop me if you have heard this one before…. there is a lack of high quality polling for the 2022 election. What polling we do have is mostly party internals, mostly from the party in power, pointing to how things … Continue reading 2022 Is Looking Like The Doppelganger of Yesteryear’s Elections
Historically, elections can generally be predicted on three macro metrics, 1) Presidential approval ratings, 2) the direction of the country’s numbers and 3) the generic ballot. In recent years, a majority of voters have reported the country being in the … Continue reading The Generic Ballot Is Bad for Democrats, I mean REALLY BAD!!!
It is hard to not over emphasize how important redistricting is to the political fortunes of state and national political parties. Coming into the election cycle, Republicans had complete control to draw 187 district compared to a mere 75 for … Continue reading How Is Redistricting Going So Far???
Historically, midterm environments are difficult for the President’s party. Since 1980, only two midterms have seen the President’s party gain seats (1998 and 2002) and the gains were marginal. Contrast this with the results of other midterms like 1994 (-54 … Continue reading It’s Hard to Envision 2022 Getting Any Worse For Democrats
“Television, by its nature, is the dominator drug par excellence. Control of content, uniformity of content, and repeatability of content make it inevitably a tool of coercion, brainwashing, and manipulation.” – Terence McKenna The popular Netflix series, “You”, has just … Continue reading Season 3 of “You”: Race Baiting and Vaccine Propaganda
On Saturday, voters went to the polls in Texas for three mayoral run – off elections in McAllen, Fort Worth and Arlington. In all three, to conservatives pleasant surprise, all three right leaning candidates came out on top. By far, … Continue reading Republicans Overperformance In Local Races Continues In Texas
Republicans might be bummed at the sorry and divided state of their party. The party is beset by infighting, the fusionism Reagan was forged seems shattered and the Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress are bolstered by formerly Republicans … Continue reading Labor’s Struggles In England Point To A Silver Lining For GOP
The last two weeks of news have not proven to be kind to House Democrats political future. It didn’t look that way to start. Earlier last week, the Census Bureau released revised population figures likely to be used (once finalized) … Continue reading Democratic Prospects of Holding The House in 22′ Keep Getting Dimmer
It’s little secret the Donald Trump era for the GOP was both good and bad electorally. Trump furthered inroads with rural voters for the GOP in 2016 and 2020 but he also cost the party invaluable support in growing metro … Continue reading The TX – 6 Special Election Results Don’t Bode Well for Red District Suburban Democrats
By most approval polls Joe Biden is sailing high. Despite having a record low approval at 100 days (minus Trump who nobody else may ever reach), it is explained away as a result of partisanship and most voters being inelastic. … Continue reading 2021 Polling Is Telling Us The Industry Is Broken