While Democrats have scored notable successes in majority white states like Oklahoma, Missouri and NY State, in majority-white districts with many college graduates, there is one notable set of places where they have surprisingly struggled to make gains-Hispanic-majority districts. In … Continue reading The GOP House Majority Might Be Saved In The Unlikeliest Of Places
It’s cliche to say but remains an indelible truism in American politics elections are decided by who turns out. We often hear in midterms how both parties focus on their bases while the ever crucial Independent and moderate vote waits … Continue reading Democrats Really Need Women To Turn Out In November
As the dust from the California primary settles and the hot-takes from the results flow in (see mine here) the general consensus is that while things are looking up for Republicans the battle for the House remains an uphill slog. … Continue reading The Battle For The House Is Now A Toss-Up
Last week, Paul Ryan announced he would be stepping down as Speaker at the end of his term. Speculation has been rampant about what this means for the midterms and who will succeed him (another Republican, Nancy Pelosi or another … Continue reading What Paul Ryan And Charlie Dent’s Retirements Say Of The Modern GOP
In the last few weeks, nothing has rocked the political world more than the Pennsylvania Supreme Court stepping in and redrawing the state’s “unfair” GOP drawn Congressional maps. For historical context, the maps were drawn after the GOP wave of … Continue reading The Dangers of Undoing Gerrymandering
By now, most pundits are predicting a wave election. The most optimistic analysis from non-partisan experts is the House is at best 50/50 for the GOP and heavy losses are expected. The number of legislative seats Democrats have flipped, the … Continue reading Fight For The House Is Still An Uphill Climb For Democrats
The modern political dynamic of Republicans being “against” immigration and Democrats being “for” immigration was reinforced by Trump’s victory last November. Campaigning against illegal immigrant criminals and on building a “beautiful wall,” Trump found strong appeal in the Midwest and … Continue reading Democrats Really Have Moved Left On Immigration
