Over at Politico, John Austin of the Brookings Institution has an interesting theory. A strong economy will not help but actually hinder Trump. You can check out the full article there but at its core the article rests on the … Continue reading A Strong Economy Will Not Be Why Trump Lost
All things considered, I’d rather be a challenger than an incumbent hovering under 50 approval amid a roaring economy. A sprawling Democratic field should allow an incumbent President to focus on the merits of his tenure. But then again, no … Continue reading The State of Trump’s Reelection 18 Months Out
For as long as I can remember, Florida has been considered the perennial battleground state. Like Ohio, the state has voted for the winning Presidential candidate since the new Millenium. But, the state known for Hanging Chads and giving George … Continue reading Is Florida Still A Battleground?
It seems there really is something to the argument the Kavanaugh nomination is reaping electoral benefits for the GOP. Contrary to the prognostications of how suburban women in key Senate battlegrounds would turn away from the GOP over their steadfast … Continue reading The Kavanaugh Fight Has Helped Republicans
While Democrats have scored notable successes in majority white states like Oklahoma, Missouri and NY State, in majority-white districts with many college graduates, there is one notable set of places where they have surprisingly struggled to make gains-Hispanic-majority districts. In … Continue reading The GOP House Majority Might Be Saved In The Unlikeliest Of Places
It’s cliche to say but remains an indelible truism in American politics elections are decided by who turns out. We often hear in midterms how both parties focus on their bases while the ever crucial Independent and moderate vote waits … Continue reading Democrats Really Need Women To Turn Out In November
As the dust from the California primary settles and the hot-takes from the results flow in (see mine here) the general consensus is that while things are looking up for Republicans the battle for the House remains an uphill slog. … Continue reading The Battle For The House Is Now A Toss-Up