Historically, midterm environments are difficult for the President’s party. Since 1980, only two midterms have seen the President’s party gain seats (1998 and 2002) and the gains were marginal. Contrast this with the results of other midterms like 1994 (-54 … Continue reading It’s Hard to Envision 2022 Getting Any Worse For Democrats
Hot off the heels of a successful 2020 house campaign, House Republicans see an electoral map tilted toward them in 2022 due to a successful 2020, President Trump’s ouster and a number of legislative victories down – ballot leaving them … Continue reading Republicans House Prospects In 2022 Are Looking Pretty Rosy
Regardless of what happens with the 2020 election, predictions and prognostications will eventually turn to the 2021 election and its meaning for the much larger midterm elections which will be held in a Senate field tilted to Democrats and a … Continue reading Looking Past 2020 To 2021
It was an exciting election night last night with heartbreak and disappointment for both Democrats and Republicans. With impeachment dividing the nation there were several top-tier races on the docket last night including races for Governor in Mississippi and Kentucky, … Continue reading Reading The Tea Leaves From Tuesday
By now, most pundits are predicting a wave election. The most optimistic analysis from non-partisan experts is the House is at best 50/50 for the GOP and heavy losses are expected. The number of legislative seats Democrats have flipped, the … Continue reading Fight For The House Is Still An Uphill Climb For Democrats
Tuesday, Democrats scored sweeping wins in the increasingly blue state of Virginia. While polls showed the race tightening in the gubernatorial race’s waning days they showed the bulk of undecided voters were poised to break to Northam. And they did. … Continue reading Takeaways from Tuesday
To the average person, Trump’s fights with the NFL, Hollywood, Democrats and the GOP establishment are signs of why his Presidency is a mess and his approval rating is below 40 percent. But this misses the forest for the trees. … Continue reading Republicans Are Winning the Culture Wars Under Trump
From 1964 to 2004 the state of Virginia was a bastion of conservatism. The state went for George Bush in 2000 despite Al Gore winning the popular vote. But since 2008, the state has taken a hard left turn and … Continue reading Virginia Is Not Going As Planned For Democrats
Last week, Republicans in the Virginia House of Delegates floated a bill to change the state from a winner take all state in the Electoral College to one that doles out votes by Congressional district (similar to Nebraska’s). The idea … Continue reading Republicans Should Be Careful About Changing The Electoral College
Consistent readers of my articles here at American Watchmen and my column know how I have been highly skeptical of the Democratic Party. The party is becoming more ideologically pure and left of center at time when the Republican Party … Continue reading The Democrats Path Back To Power
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