Shellacking. Disaster. Wasteful. All those terms come to mind when it comes to the 2022 midterms where the GOP underperformed. At least at the national level. As of this writing the GOP is going to lose a net of one … Continue reading Recapping the 2022 Midterms
I feel like virtually every article I have recently written (last few months) is about how the polls are underestimating Republicans. This is based on solid polling misses from 2014 onward which have found numerous Republicans in competitive contests when … Continue reading Are The Polls Now Overestimating Republicans???
Back in 2021, Harry Enten of CNN noted in the run-up to the Virginia gubernatorial race, how many voters disapproved of the President who were undecided in that contest. In November, Virginia voted for a Republican for Governor and gave … Continue reading The Ever Shifting Narrative Of The 2022 Midterms
I’ve been harsh on the polling industry, and until I see some sort of methodological changes and admittance their industry has issues I will continue to be. I have written numerous articles on the polling industry’s struggles and likelihood this … Continue reading The Polls Need To Be Right This Year
In a previous piece I laid out the major reasons why Republicans should be thrilled Senate control will be decided in Georgia, and not say Wisconsin. Since that time, a number of pieces have come out arguing the GOP should … Continue reading The Big Reason Why Democrats Face An Uphill Battle In Georgia
More likely than not, Senate control will not be decided until January 5th, when a pair of run-offs in Georgia will determine the fate of Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden. This is good news for the GOP despite … Continue reading Georgia: Where The Senate Will Be Won Which Is Good News For The GOP
As the election dust settles and we get a clearer picture of the results two things stand out. First, Trump’s loss clouds over the fact the GOP actually had a good election – particularly in the states. Secondly, and more … Continue reading The GOP Actually Had A Good Election: That Is Bad News For Pollsters
The results are in and while many Trump supporters (myself included) have to be disappointed with the results the sharp divergence from what happened with what the polls were saying (more on this in a later post once we have … Continue reading At This Point: Even If Biden Wins, Progressives Lose
Leaving aside ideology, the make-up of the Supreme Court and legislative actions over the next two years, there is an argument to be made some Republicans should be hoping Trump loses in November, even if it gives Democrats unified control … Continue reading Should Republicans Be Hoping Trump Loses in November?
A mere four months ago, Democrats were giddy on their 2020 prospects. The President’s approval was dragged down by the partial government shutdown, Senate Republicans were divided on ending said shutdown and Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats were riding high … Continue reading Democrats Striking Out in Top Senate Races Dims Hope For 2020