Republicans narrowly escaped another squeaker, this one out of OH-12. Democratic Danny O’Conner narrowly trails Republican Troy Balderson and despite as close as Democrats came they yet again seem not able to close the deal. I will get to why … Continue reading OH-12 Did Not Tell Us Anything We Did Not Already Know
It is easy to overlook in our era of hyper-polarized politics that not every voter is a lock-step Republican or Democrat. These “swing voters” have long been described as the ultimate deciders in elections. So who are they and who … Continue reading The Key Swing Voter: The Obama/Trump Voter
Democrats have an eight point lead on the generic ballot. Yet, Trump is more popular than he has ever been. Over 50 Democratic challengers outraised their GOP counterparts. Yet, the RNC outraised the DNC and GOP SuperPACs raked in record … Continue reading The 2018 Midterms Are Not Looking Like A Wave Yet
While Democrats have scored notable successes in majority white states like Oklahoma, Missouri and NY State, in majority-white districts with many college graduates, there is one notable set of places where they have surprisingly struggled to make gains-Hispanic-majority districts. In … Continue reading The GOP House Majority Might Be Saved In The Unlikeliest Of Places
In the span of four hours of Anthony Kennedy retiring I have seen multiple articles on the midterms of 2010 and 2014 being the reasons for Democrats current dilemma, how cynical Mitch McConnell was in 2016, and how a new … Continue reading Anthony Kennedy’s Retirement Is A Gift To The GOP For More Than One Reason
It’s cliche to say but remains an indelible truism in American politics elections are decided by who turns out. We often hear in midterms how both parties focus on their bases while the ever crucial Independent and moderate vote waits … Continue reading Democrats Really Need Women To Turn Out In November
Yes, Democrats continue to score wins down-ballot and trumpet these victories as signs of a wave but recent events have not been kind to the out of power party. Donald Trump’s approval has averaged around 43 percent for a week … Continue reading Things Are Looking Up For Republicans
Last week, Paul Ryan announced he would be stepping down as Speaker at the end of his term. Speculation has been rampant about what this means for the midterms and who will succeed him (another Republican, Nancy Pelosi or another … Continue reading What Paul Ryan And Charlie Dent’s Retirements Say Of The Modern GOP
Nevada Senator Dean Heller, elected in 2012 with 46 percent of the vote, is widely considered the most endangered Republican incumbent in the upper chamber. Republican Presidential candidates have not won the state since 2004 and Democrats currently control three … Continue reading Trump Owns The GOP Grassroots
The Senate map is absolutely brutal for Democrats this year and no blue wave or enthusiasm gap can change this simple fact. Indeed, a new survey taken mere days before the PA-18 shocker shows just how bad things are for … Continue reading Republicans Still Have The Senate No Matter What Happens In The House
