As the dust from the California primary settles and the hot-takes from the results flow in (see mine here) the general consensus is that while things are looking up for Republicans the battle for the House remains an uphill slog. … Continue reading The Battle For The House Is Now A Toss-Up
Yes, Democrats continue to score wins down-ballot and trumpet these victories as signs of a wave but recent events have not been kind to the out of power party. Donald Trump’s approval has averaged around 43 percent for a week … Continue reading Things Are Looking Up For Republicans
Democrats are ecstatic after PA-18’s results where at worse the party is set to have made Republicans sweat a dark red seat and at best narrowly stolen a strongly Trump seat. Combined with Democratic performances in other special elections it … Continue reading Reading The Tea Leaves Of PA-18
In the span of a couple of months the media narrative surrounding Republicans has flipped from the “Majority is safe” to “Danger Will Robinson.” Likewise, in the Senate, Republican gains have now been downgraded to one or two seats. Don’t … Continue reading How Badly… No, Is Trump Hurting The GOP?
Democrats appear ready to force Republicans to invoke the nuclear option to appoint Neil Gorusch to the Supreme Court. Democrats have a list of grievances a mile long to justify their actions. Among them are GOP efforts to stymie Merrick … Continue reading Democrats Really Should Look At Senate Maps Before Filibustering Gorusch
John Boehner must be getting ready to give Paul Ryan a consoling call. By now, the news that Republicans, despite controlling all levers of government, could not repeal a law they have railed against for seven years has spread far … Continue reading Republicans Ungovernable Coalition
At the onset of the 2014 midterm cycle, Nancy Pelosi effectively wrote off Democrats retaking the majority. In 2016, while Democrats were optimistic about the Trump effect they never fully believed in their own hype, leading to a number of … Continue reading To Win The House, Democrats Have To First Believe They Can