Last week, I wrote about reading into the tea leaves of the early vote. Now, I want to take a counterfactual approach and lay out some reasons why we should always be skeptical of the early data using some notable … Continue reading Reading Into The Tea Leaves Part II
The odds are good we all will not know the results of Georgia’s Senate run – offs when we go to bed tonight but both parties have reasons for optimism tonight. The reasons for each are summarized below. Democratic optimism: … Continue reading Georgia Could Really Go Either Way Tuesday
In a previous piece I laid out the major reasons why Republicans should be thrilled Senate control will be decided in Georgia, and not say Wisconsin. Since that time, a number of pieces have come out arguing the GOP should … Continue reading The Big Reason Why Democrats Face An Uphill Battle In Georgia
More likely than not, Senate control will not be decided until January 5th, when a pair of run-offs in Georgia will determine the fate of Mitch McConnell, Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden. This is good news for the GOP despite … Continue reading Georgia: Where The Senate Will Be Won Which Is Good News For The GOP
The ad spoke for itself. On Super Bowl Sunday, the Trump campaign debuted its now infamous Criminal Justice Reform ad. The ad focused on Alice Johnson, who was facing life in prison for a nonviolent drug offense, before President Trump … Continue reading Why Trump Is Spending Big On Unusual And Non-Republican Voters
Last week, a poll came out of Texas showing President Trump running neck and neck with former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump also narrowly led other Democratic candidates. Combined with a narrow two point win for Senator Ted Cruz last … Continue reading Are Texas and Georgia Really Getting Bluer?
A mere four months ago, Democrats were giddy on their 2020 prospects. The President’s approval was dragged down by the partial government shutdown, Senate Republicans were divided on ending said shutdown and Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats were riding high … Continue reading Democrats Striking Out in Top Senate Races Dims Hope For 2020
The (close to) final results are in from Georgia and considering Democrats spent over $30 million on the contests it is a huge disappointment. Democratic wonder kid Jon Ossoff lost to Karen Handel by 5.2 percent (almost 13,000 votes) in … Continue reading What We Learned From GA-6 (And South Carolina) Tonight
This is it, it all comes down to the returns tonight in a small, suburban, highly educated district in Georgia. Outside spending has poured into the district to the tune of over $50 million (most expensive House race in US … Continue reading What To Look For in GA-6 Tonight
On Tuesday, the long awaited primary election for Tom Price’s suburban Atlanta district was held. As expected, Democratic young gun Jon Ossoff advanced to the run-off. Also, as expected, Karen Handel advanced to face him. There were two things of … Continue reading My Take on GA-6
American Watchmen 