I feel like virtually every article I have recently written (last few months) is about how the polls are underestimating Republicans. This is based on solid polling misses from 2014 onward which have found numerous Republicans in competitive contests when … Continue reading Are The Polls Now Overestimating Republicans???
At this point in the run – up to Labor Day Weekend, the narrative of a GOP wave has flipped (at least among the MSM and punditry) to more of a puddle. You can also take the unhinged rantings of … Continue reading Almost The Entire Difference In The Generic Ballot Polls Can Be Explained In Their Samples
Historically, elections can generally be predicted on three macro metrics, 1) Presidential approval ratings, 2) the direction of the country’s numbers and 3) the generic ballot. In recent years, a majority of voters have reported the country being in the … Continue reading The Generic Ballot Is Bad for Democrats, I mean REALLY BAD!!!
By now, most pundits are predicting a wave election. The most optimistic analysis from non-partisan experts is the House is at best 50/50 for the GOP and heavy losses are expected. The number of legislative seats Democrats have flipped, the … Continue reading Fight For The House Is Still An Uphill Climb For Democrats