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Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

Every Indicator Points To A Red Wave

April 8, 2022 Gabe Iacoboni

Since the Fall of last year. every indicator has shown this November will be a wave election. What started as Biden incompetence related to the withdrawal in Afghanistan has morphed in the following months into rapid inflation and sky high … Continue reading Every Indicator Points To A Red Wave

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

The Generic Ballot Is Bad for Democrats, I mean REALLY BAD!!!

February 12, 2022 Gabe Iacoboni

Historically, elections can generally be predicted on three macro metrics, 1) Presidential approval ratings, 2) the direction of the country’s numbers and 3) the generic ballot. In recent years, a majority of voters have reported the country being in the … Continue reading The Generic Ballot Is Bad for Democrats, I mean REALLY BAD!!!

Data Analysis, PoliticsLeave a comment

How Is Redistricting Going So Far???

December 27, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

It is hard to not over emphasize how important redistricting is to the political fortunes of state and national political parties. Coming into the election cycle, Republicans had complete control to draw 187 district compared to a mere 75 for … Continue reading How Is Redistricting Going So Far???

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

Republicans Overperformance In Local Races Continues In Texas

June 7, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

On Saturday, voters went to the polls in Texas for three mayoral run – off elections in McAllen, Fort Worth and Arlington. In all three, to conservatives pleasant surprise, all three right leaning candidates came out on top. By far, … Continue reading Republicans Overperformance In Local Races Continues In Texas

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

Labor’s Struggles In England Point To A Silver Lining For GOP

May 17, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

Republicans might be bummed at the sorry and divided state of their party. The party is beset by infighting, the fusionism Reagan was forged seems shattered and the Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress are bolstered by formerly Republicans … Continue reading Labor’s Struggles In England Point To A Silver Lining For GOP

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

Democratic Prospects of Holding The House in 22′ Keep Getting Dimmer

May 9, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

The last two weeks of news have not proven to be kind to House Democrats political future. It didn’t look that way to start. Earlier last week, the Census Bureau released revised population figures likely to be used (once finalized) … Continue reading Democratic Prospects of Holding The House in 22′ Keep Getting Dimmer

Elections, Politics1 Comment

The TX – 6 Special Election Results Don’t Bode Well for Red District Suburban Democrats

May 3, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

It’s little secret the Donald Trump era for the GOP was both good and bad electorally. Trump furthered inroads with rural voters for the GOP in 2016 and 2020 but he also cost the party invaluable support in growing metro … Continue reading The TX – 6 Special Election Results Don’t Bode Well for Red District Suburban Democrats

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

2021 Polling Is Telling Us The Industry Is Broken

May 2, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

By most approval polls Joe Biden is sailing high. Despite having a record low approval at 100 days (minus Trump who nobody else may ever reach), it is explained away as a result of partisanship and most voters being inelastic. … Continue reading 2021 Polling Is Telling Us The Industry Is Broken

Data Analysis, Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

What Do We Make Of Trump’s Overperformance with Hispanics

April 16, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

Much has been made of the polls missing 2020, not just nationally but in close swing states. Digging deeper into the numbers, looking at individual precincts in recent months, has shown that Donald Trump massively increased his margins not just … Continue reading What Do We Make Of Trump’s Overperformance with Hispanics

Elections, PoliticsLeave a comment

Early Signs Look Good For GOP Heading Into 2022

April 6, 2021 Gabe Iacoboni

Over at CNN, Harry Enten took an an early look at the 2022 midterms and finds for all the doom and gloom of a party in the throes of white nationalism, the GOP seems to be well positioned. Enten bases … Continue reading Early Signs Look Good For GOP Heading Into 2022

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