Once again, the polls were off, by a lot. Most polls had the Tories running away with the election. Pollsters using turnout models had the Tories with an even bigger margin. In the end the Tories did win the biggest … Continue reading The Tories Lost: Where Does Brexit Go From Here?
Back in 2010, electoral politics in the UK seemed fairly consistent. Labour had a small but steady majority in Parliament, the Tories were the minority and the Liberal Democrats were the fringe. But then the Tories took power in 2010 … Continue reading What’s Up With That UK Election Thing?
In two weeks, French voters will once again go to the polls to elect a new President. But before they do, their prior decisions yesterday have been called “earth shattering” by some and the end of an “era” in French … Continue reading Interpreting The French Election
You might be thinking the Democratic base is fired up to oppose Donald Trump and his hate-mongering, xenophobic, racist ways. You’d be right. Of course, it also forced the party to forfeit any ability to contest Donald Trump’s plan to … Continue reading Democrats Have A Grassroots Problem
Democrats have a problem. No, I am not speaking of their lack of a national bench. Nor the 1,000 plus state legislative seats Republicans have taken from them in the last six years. I am speaking of red-state Democrats blues. … Continue reading Democrats Red State Blues
Heading into next year, Democrats will be defending the Senate map from hell. Twenty-five of the 33 Senate seats up next year’s Senate class are held by the party while Republicans will only be defending eight. This dangerous over-extension for … Continue reading Can Republicans Count On Partisanship To Carry The Senate Next Year?
Believe it or not, there was a time when Democrats actually managed to be competitive among the religious right. In 1976, the last time this really happened for Democrats at the Presidential level, Jimmy Carter managed to win 46 percent … Continue reading Democrats Problem: Religion