Back in 2021, Harry Enten of CNN noted in the run-up to the Virginia gubernatorial race, how many voters disapproved of the President who were undecided in that contest. In November, Virginia voted for a Republican for Governor and gave … Continue reading The Ever Shifting Narrative Of The 2022 Midterms
I feel a tad awkward focusing on a single poll when I have been so harsh on them but in this case the poll – the most recent WashPo/ABC survey – fits two molds. First – off, it screens Likely … Continue reading Battlegrounds Tilt Right
I’ve been harsh on the polling industry, and until I see some sort of methodological changes and admittance their industry has issues I will continue to be. I have written numerous articles on the polling industry’s struggles and likelihood this … Continue reading The Polls Need To Be Right This Year
At this point in the run – up to Labor Day Weekend, the narrative of a GOP wave has flipped (at least among the MSM and punditry) to more of a puddle. You can also take the unhinged rantings of … Continue reading Almost The Entire Difference In The Generic Ballot Polls Can Be Explained In Their Samples
Stop me if you have heard this one before…. there is a lack of high quality polling for the 2022 election. What polling we do have is mostly party internals, mostly from the party in power, pointing to how things … Continue reading 2022 Is Looking Like The Doppelganger of Yesteryear’s Elections
Since the Fall of last year. every indicator has shown this November will be a wave election. What started as Biden incompetence related to the withdrawal in Afghanistan has morphed in the following months into rapid inflation and sky high … Continue reading Every Indicator Points To A Red Wave
On Saturday, voters went to the polls in Texas for three mayoral run – off elections in McAllen, Fort Worth and Arlington. In all three, to conservatives pleasant surprise, all three right leaning candidates came out on top. By far, … Continue reading Republicans Overperformance In Local Races Continues In Texas
Republicans might be bummed at the sorry and divided state of their party. The party is beset by infighting, the fusionism Reagan was forged seems shattered and the Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress are bolstered by formerly Republicans … Continue reading Labor’s Struggles In England Point To A Silver Lining For GOP
The last two weeks of news have not proven to be kind to House Democrats political future. It didn’t look that way to start. Earlier last week, the Census Bureau released revised population figures likely to be used (once finalized) … Continue reading Democratic Prospects of Holding The House in 22′ Keep Getting Dimmer
Over at CNN, Harry Enten took an an early look at the 2022 midterms and finds for all the doom and gloom of a party in the throes of white nationalism, the GOP seems to be well positioned. Enten bases … Continue reading Early Signs Look Good For GOP Heading Into 2022
American Watchmen 