For students of American history the Battle of Antietam during the American Civil War is analogous to the 2020 election. During the battle – credited as the turning point of the war in favor of the Union – more than … Continue reading The Antietam Election
Once you start filtering out the California and NY State impacts on the popular vote – and start looking at the results downballot you have to be shocked by the results. Not only did the blue wave fail to materialize, … Continue reading 2020 Was The Status Quo Election
Predictably, national polls have shown the Presidential race tighten as voter models and screens have been firmed up. For the first time in months the President actually took the lead in the RCP average in Florida. More importantly though the … Continue reading Why Trump’s Best Shot In The Rust Belt Remains Pennsylvania
Regardless of what happens with the 2020 election, predictions and prognostications will eventually turn to the 2021 election and its meaning for the much larger midterm elections which will be held in a Senate field tilted to Democrats and a … Continue reading Looking Past 2020 To 2021
As the Country comes to the two-week warning before the 2020 Presidential Election, an emphatic group of lukewarm Christians, RINOs and Neo-Cons have once again locked arms against Donald J Trump. Formerly calling themselves “Never-Trumpers”, these cloak and dagger conservatives … Continue reading “Principled Conservatives”: Misguided Libertarians, RINO’s and Pseudo-Christians
Most national polls show Democrats set to utterly crush Republicans at almost every level of governance in November. Polls show Joe Biden is a clear favorite for the Presidency, Democrats lead in key Senate contests and by all rights Joe … Continue reading Some Signs Don’t Point To A Democratic Wave
At the start of the summer Donald Trump’s campaign was battered with bad news. Polling showed him underwater among virtually every group except non-college educated whites, his Senate GOP counterparts were trailing in their quest to hold the Senate and … Continue reading How Trump Clawed His Way Back
A number of recent surveys and reports of 2020 have raised eyebrows. While national and state level polls show Joe Biden with a steady lead over President Trump less than two months from Election Day, registration figures from a number … Continue reading Are Modern US Polls Equipped To Detect Electoral Changes?
If you believe the polling numbers coming out of the battle for the White House and Senate it looks pretty unlikely Republicans will hold any branch of government come January. Poll after poll spit out from non-partisan and partisan pollsters … Continue reading What To Believe: The Polls or Horse Race News?
In 2016, the states of New York and California gave Clinton a 3 million vote advantage in the popular vote. Clinton ended up winning the popular vote by around 2.8 million. Come 2020, those states will contribute millions to Biden’s … Continue reading As Bad As The Polls Are For Trump, They Show Why He Is Tough To Beat