Up until November 6th, Republicans claimed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 would provide the party a message of success to run on in the era of Donald Trump. Instead, the evidence suggests Donald Trump actually did more … Continue reading Did The Tax Cuts Sink The Republican House Majority?
Significant debate in academic and political circles has been generated regarding the results of November. Some call it a wave, others call it a ripple. Depending on how you look at it and what you compare it to reasonable arguments … Continue reading Not All Waves Are Created Equal
While Democrats have scored notable successes in majority white states like Oklahoma, Missouri and NY State, in majority-white districts with many college graduates, there is one notable set of places where they have surprisingly struggled to make gains-Hispanic-majority districts. In … Continue reading The GOP House Majority Might Be Saved In The Unlikeliest Of Places
In the span of four hours of Anthony Kennedy retiring I have seen multiple articles on the midterms of 2010 and 2014 being the reasons for Democrats current dilemma, how cynical Mitch McConnell was in 2016, and how a new … Continue reading Anthony Kennedy’s Retirement Is A Gift To The GOP For More Than One Reason
As the dust from the California primary settles and the hot-takes from the results flow in (see mine here) the general consensus is that while things are looking up for Republicans the battle for the House remains an uphill slog. … Continue reading The Battle For The House Is Now A Toss-Up
Yes, Democrats continue to score wins down-ballot and trumpet these victories as signs of a wave but recent events have not been kind to the out of power party. Donald Trump’s approval has averaged around 43 percent for a week … Continue reading Things Are Looking Up For Republicans
Last week, Paul Ryan announced he would be stepping down as Speaker at the end of his term. Speculation has been rampant about what this means for the midterms and who will succeed him (another Republican, Nancy Pelosi or another … Continue reading What Paul Ryan And Charlie Dent’s Retirements Say Of The Modern GOP