In recent weeks, despite national polls showing Biden maintaining his edge, most pundits consider the race has tightened. Indeed, the Biden campaign implicitly admitted the race was narrowing by having their candidate come out of the basement and campaign in-person. … Continue reading It’s Like Trump Suddenly Wants To Win
There is common perception among pundits and the public the polls were hugely wrong in 2016. To be fair, I have been extremely harsh on pollsters recently for past failures in 2018 and their samples for this year. I can … Continue reading What Would Happen If Today If The Polls Swung Like 2016
FiveThirtyEight is probably the biggest cheerleader for trying to explain how Biden’s lead is different than Clinton’s 80 days out from the election. I’ll let the readers decide for themselves. But, while it is true Biden has better favorable numbers … Continue reading Biden’s Lead Is Shrinking In The States: That’s Not Good
It is easy to overlook in our era of hyper-polarized politics that not every voter is a lock-step Republican or Democrat. These “swing voters” have long been described as the ultimate deciders in elections. So who are they and who … Continue reading The Key Swing Voter: The Obama/Trump Voter
The modern political dynamic of Republicans being “against” immigration and Democrats being “for” immigration was reinforced by Trump’s victory last November. Campaigning against illegal immigrant criminals and on building a “beautiful wall,” Trump found strong appeal in the Midwest and … Continue reading Democrats Really Have Moved Left On Immigration
Last week, I wrote about a startling pro-abortion bill in Oregon that supports abortion on demand for any reason and forces the taxpayers to cover it. Oregon Democrats might be cheering such a win but national Democrats are cringing at … Continue reading National Democrats Move Right On Abortion While Their States Move Left
Democrats are gleefully ringing their hands as the Trump administration reels from the controversy in Charlottesvile, Virginia. Already two of the President’s Councils have disbanded and another has fallen in its infancy. But, even so, the “oppose Trump” mantra is … Continue reading Democrats Still Lack A Message
Emboldened by a struggling Republican President and recent legislative special election wins Democrats counterattacked and unveiled a new slogan and set of policies geared to helping the “working American.” The slogan, “A Better Deal: Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Wages,” was … Continue reading Same Old Democratic Ideas
This is it, it all comes down to the returns tonight in a small, suburban, highly educated district in Georgia. Outside spending has poured into the district to the tune of over $50 million (most expensive House race in US … Continue reading What To Look For in GA-6 Tonight
Jon Ossoff is a slight favorite to succeed former Congressman Tom Price in GA-6. The district, ancestrally red but now a deep shade of purple (turning bluer everyday) is ripe for a partisan change in Congress. But, despite what I … Continue reading The Democratic Divide Threatens 2018 Successes
American Watchmen 