Historically, elections can generally be predicted on three macro metrics, 1) Presidential approval ratings, 2) the direction of the country’s numbers and 3) the generic ballot. In recent years, a majority of voters have reported the country being in the … Continue reading The Generic Ballot Is Bad for Democrats, I mean REALLY BAD!!!
To some, it will appear Trump’s Convention Bounce has faded. Or that Biden is building on his lead. But, a slate of recent battleground state surveys have shown Biden’s lead in these states is growing (at least in the polls) … Continue reading The New Divergence In The Polls
The rise of the Hispanic vote has been the white whale of both Democrats and Republicans. Democrats have claimed they will fuel a blue America while Republicans argue their whitening and culturally conservative values will turn them to the right. … Continue reading Hispanics And Trump: Say What?
Heading into next year, Democrats will be defending the Senate map from hell. Twenty-five of the 33 Senate seats up next year’s Senate class are held by the party while Republicans will only be defending eight. This dangerous over-extension for … Continue reading Can Republicans Count On Partisanship To Carry The Senate Next Year?
In the span of a week it seems Democrats have moved beyond doom and gloom in the Trump era to a strategy to defeat Trump. Oppose, oppose, oppose. The strategy, if it can be called one, is predicated on appeasing … Continue reading It’s 2016 All Over Again