A number of recent surveys and reports of 2020 have raised eyebrows. While national and state level polls show Joe Biden with a steady lead over President Trump less than two months from Election Day, registration figures from a number … Continue reading Are Modern US Polls Equipped To Detect Electoral Changes?
As we get closer and closer to November, the number of polls proliferate, and everybody is spitting out statistical and anecdotal analysis, it is important to revisit how the lessons from 2016 exit polls should be kept in mind when … Continue reading Beware The Polls And Analysis
In recent weeks, despite national polls showing Biden maintaining his edge, most pundits consider the race has tightened. Indeed, the Biden campaign implicitly admitted the race was narrowing by having their candidate come out of the basement and campaign in-person. … Continue reading It’s Like Trump Suddenly Wants To Win
There is common perception among pundits and the public the polls were hugely wrong in 2016. To be fair, I have been extremely harsh on pollsters recently for past failures in 2018 and their samples for this year. I can … Continue reading What Would Happen If Today If The Polls Swung Like 2016
In Politico, Tim Alberta posits an interesting question about what the GOP stands for. Minus the usual liberal elitism of “I don’t get it” and then going to other elites (Frank Luntz) and acting like Luntz isn’t an elite the … Continue reading Republicans Have Ideas – The Media Just Refuses To See Them
Cancel culture is a term many Conservatives and Libertarians have railed against, especially in 2020. While the radical left indeed uses “cancelling” as a way to silence their critics, it is not a tactic that Christians or the Right should … Continue reading ‘Cuties’: Why You Should Cancel Netflix
FiveThirtyEight is probably the biggest cheerleader for trying to explain how Biden’s lead is different than Clinton’s 80 days out from the election. I’ll let the readers decide for themselves. But, while it is true Biden has better favorable numbers … Continue reading Biden’s Lead Is Shrinking In The States: That’s Not Good
The surrounding horse-race narrative driven by the media around November is it will be a hard-fought nailbiter. The polls on the other hand all show a single trend line – Joe Biden is winning and not looking back. We can … Continue reading Why The Direction Of The Polls Should Worry Us
Leaving aside ideology, the make-up of the Supreme Court and legislative actions over the next two years, there is an argument to be made some Republicans should be hoping Trump loses in November, even if it gives Democrats unified control … Continue reading Should Republicans Be Hoping Trump Loses in November?
“Those who sacrifice liberty for security deserve neither” – Benjamin Franklin The 2nd Amendment to the United States Constitution has been a sentinel of American gun ownership since its ratification in the Bill of Rights in 1791. Since then it … Continue reading Red Flag Laws: Pre-Crime in Our Time