Once you start filtering out the California and NY State impacts on the popular vote – and start looking at the results downballot you have to be shocked by the results. Not only did the blue wave fail to materialize, … Continue reading 2020 Was The Status Quo Election
As the election dust settles and we get a clearer picture of the results two things stand out. First, Trump’s loss clouds over the fact the GOP actually had a good election – particularly in the states. Secondly, and more … Continue reading The GOP Actually Had A Good Election: That Is Bad News For Pollsters
The results are in and while many Trump supporters (myself included) have to be disappointed with the results the sharp divergence from what happened with what the polls were saying (more on this in a later post once we have … Continue reading At This Point: Even If Biden Wins, Progressives Lose
With early voting ending across the country today and reports of increased turnout all across the nation the stars seem aligned for a massive Trump defeat. After – all, conventional wisdom holds increased turnout signals the end of the GOP … Continue reading Why Increased Turnout Does Not Equal The End For Trump
As the days leading up to the 2020 election shrink, prognosticators are already predicting the future. Diversity loving neo-liberals like Ronald Brownstein are already going full steam ahead on the GOP coalition’s xenophobic, rapidly shrinking base will find itself increasing … Continue reading Why Trump’s Populism (If Not Rhetoric) Is The Future Of The GOP
Predictably, national polls have shown the Presidential race tighten as voter models and screens have been firmed up. For the first time in months the President actually took the lead in the RCP average in Florida. More importantly though the … Continue reading Why Trump’s Best Shot In The Rust Belt Remains Pennsylvania
There are no certainties in politics. Just ask Clinton circa 2016. But, for most of 2020 the presidential election has been defined by a steady Biden lead nationally and in battleground states across the country. Yet, that lead has shrunk … Continue reading Election Night Could Be Decided Early If These Two Things Happen
With Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell explicitly stating that the Republicans have more than enough votes to confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court today, comes the expected petulant protesting of the Democrats. While many leftists have cursed and … Continue reading “Mail-In Voting”: Why the Left is Terrified of Amy Coney Barrett
Regardless of what happens with the 2020 election, predictions and prognostications will eventually turn to the 2021 election and its meaning for the much larger midterm elections which will be held in a Senate field tilted to Democrats and a … Continue reading Looking Past 2020 To 2021
Most national polls show Democrats set to utterly crush Republicans at almost every level of governance in November. Polls show Joe Biden is a clear favorite for the Presidency, Democrats lead in key Senate contests and by all rights Joe … Continue reading Some Signs Don’t Point To A Democratic Wave
